Friday, December 14, 2012

BLS: CPI declines 0.3% in November, Core CPI increases 0.1%

by Bill McBride on 12/14/2012 08:40:00 AM

From the BLS: Consumer Price Index - November 2012

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.3 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.8 percent before seasonal adjustment. The gasoline index fell 7.4 percent in November; this decrease more than offset increases in other indexes, resulting in the decline in the seasonally adjusted all items index.
...
The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.1 percent in November after a 0.2 percent increase in October. ... The index for all items less food and energy rose 1.9 percent over the last 12 months, slightly lower than the October figure of 2.0 percent. The food index has risen 1.8 percent over the last 12 months, and the energy index has risen 0.3 percent.
I'll post a graph later today after the Cleveland Fed releases the median and trimmed-mean CPI. This was below the consensus forecast of a 0.2% decrease for CPI, and below the consensus for a 0.2% increase in core CPI.

The decrease in CPI was mostly due to the recent decline in gasoline prices.  On a year-over-year basis, CPI is up 1.8 percent, and core CPI is up 1.9 percent.  Both below the Fed's target.

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