Thursday, October 11, 2012

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims declined sharply to 339,000

by Bill McBride on 10/11/2012 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports:

In the week ending October 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 339,000, a decrease of 30,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 369,000. The 4-week moving average was 364,000, a decrease of 11,500 from the previous week's revised average of 375,500.
The previous week was revised up from 367,000.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.



Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims declined sharply to 364,000. This is just above the cycle low for the 4-week average of 363,000 in March.

Weekly claims were lower than the consensus forecast of 370,000.



And here is a long term graph of weekly claims:

Mostly moving sideways this year, but starting to decline again recently.

All current Employment Graphs

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