Tuesday, October 09, 2012

Lawler: "Distressed" home sales shares in Reno, Vegas, and Phoenix

by Bill McBride on 10/09/2012 04:32:00 PM

Economist Tom Lawler sent me the table below with a one word discussion: "Wow".

CR Note: We've been tracking several distressed areas across the country, and a couple of clear patterns have developed:

1) There has been a shift from foreclosures to short sales. Foreclosures are down and short sales are up just about everywhere. For two of the cities below, short sales are three times foreclosures - and more than double in Phoenix. That is a huge change. A year ago, there were many more foreclosures than short sales.

2) The overall percent of distressed sales (combined foreclosures and short sales) are down year-over-year.

The three cities in the table below - Reno, Vegas, and Phoenix - were some of the hardest hit areas in the country. The decline in in distressed sales in Phoenix (from 64.1% in Sept 2011 to 39.9% in Sept 2012) is stunning. But we have to remember that 40% distressed is still extremely high.


Short Sales ShareForeclosure Sales ShareTotal "Distressed" Share
12-Sep11-Sep12-Sep11-Sep12-Sep11-Sep
Las Vegas44.8%23.5%13.6%49.4%58.4%72.9%
Reno41.0%29.0%12.0%38.0%53.0%67.0%
Phoenix27.0%27.0%12.9%37.1%39.9%64.1%

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