Thursday, August 02, 2012

Friday: July Employment Report, ISM Services

by Bill McBride on 8/02/2012 09:29:00 PM

From the Financial Times: Draghi kills hope of instant action

Financial markets recoiled on Thursday after Mario Draghi demanded eurozone governments turn to existing rescue funds before any intervention by the European Central Bank in bond markets to shore up Europe’s monetary union.
Excerpt with Permission
Some analysis from the Joseph Cotterill at Alphaville: Was Draghi really a disaster? and from Tim Duy at EconomistsView: Second Policy Failure of the Week

On Friday:
• At 8:30 AM ET, the Employment Report for July will be released. The consensus is for an increase of 100,000 non-farm payroll jobs in July, up from the 80,000 jobs added in June. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 8.2%.

Some thoughts: Employment Situation Preview and from Binyman Appelbaum at Economix: Beware the Jobs Report of July
As ... Floyd Norris explained last month, one possible distortion that has arisen in recent years, thanks to the weakness of the economy, is that “seasonal adjustments make things look better than they are in the winter, when fewer workers are being let go than the government expects, and worse in the spring and summer, when the workers who were not let go cannot be rehired.”
• 10:00 AM, the ISM non-Manufacturing Index for July will be released. The consensus is for a decrease to 52.0 from 52.1 in June.

For the economic contest in August: