by Bill McBride on 7/31/2012 05:58:00 PM
Tuesday, July 31, 2012
Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate declined in June to 3.53% from 3.57% May. The serious delinquency rate is down from 4.08% in June last year, and this is the lowest level since April 2009.
The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59%.
Freddie Mac reported that the Single-Family serious delinquency rate declined in June to 3.45%, from 3.50% in May. Freddie's rate is only down from 3.50% in June 2011. Freddie's serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 4.20%.
These are loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure".
Click on graph for larger image
I don't know why Fannie's delinquency rate is falling faster than for Freddie.
Although this indicates some progress, the "normal" serious delinquency rate is under 1%, so there is a long way to go. At the current rate of decline, Fannie will be back to "normal" in 2015, and Freddie in 2020.