Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 4.9% in Q1

by Bill McBride on 4/04/2012 12:12:00 AM

Reis reported that the apartment vacancy rate (82 markets) fell to 4.9% in Q1 from 5.2% in Q4 2011. The vacancy rate was at 6.1% in Q1 2010 and peaked at 8.0% at the end of 2009.

From Reuters: U.S. apartment vacancy rate falls to decade low

The U.S. apartment vacancy rate in the first quarter fell to its lowest level in more than a decade, and rents posted their biggest jump in four years ...

The national vacancy rate fell 0.30 percentage points in the first quarter to 4.9 percent, the lowest level since the fourth quarter 2001, according to preliminary results Reis released Wednesday.
...
Stripping away months of free rent and other perks designed to lure or retain tenants, effective rent rose to $1,018 per month, up 0.9 percent, the largest increase since the first quarter 2008, Reis said.

"I think that rent growth will accelerate this year," said Victor Calanog, head of Research & Economics at Reis.

But that may be short lived. About 150,000-200,000 new units are expected be built next year. That supply likely will dampen rent growth next year ...

"Once that supply hits the market next year, we may find that this is the year rent growth peaked," he said. "It's still going to be a great year for apartment landlords."
Apartment Vacancy Rate Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the apartment vacancy rate starting in 2005.

Reis is just for large cities, but this decline in vacancy rates is happening just about everywhere.

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