Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Q3 real GDP growth revised down to 2.0% annualized rate

by Bill McBride on 11/22/2011 08:52:00 AM

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2011 (second estimate

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.0 percent in the third quarter of 2011 (that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter) according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This was revised down from 2.5% and below the consensus of 2.4%.

The downward revisions was mostly due to a large decline in the "change in real private inventories " - this subtracted 1.55 percentage points from the third-quarter change in real GDP (second estimate) as opposed to 1.08 percentage points in the advance estimate. Final domestic demand was mostly unchanged (the inventories will probably reverse in Q4). Still sluggish growth ...