Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Europe Update: Greek Bond Yields Surge

by Bill McBride on 8/24/2011 10:31:00 AM

The Greek bailout deal is under pressure ... and the Greek 2 year yield increased to 44% and the 10 year yield increased to 18% this morning.

From the WSJ: German Adviser: We Must Help Greece

The euro zone must continue to stand by Greece while it carries out a decade of reforms ... Wolfgang Franz, chairman of the independent council of economic advisers to the federal government ... said in a telephone interview

Mr. Franz struck ... said he was "horrified" by the Finnish government's request for collateral against its next tranche of aid, saying that this could cause the whole deal to unravel.

"This is a discussion that should be ended as soon as possible," he said. "This is the exact opposite of solidarity."
From the Telegraph: Finland threatens to withdraw Greek bailout support
Jyrki Katainen, the Finnish prime minister ... said that if Finland's bilateral agreement with Greece over collateral payments was overruled, the Nordic country could back out of the rescue programme.

He told reporters that the private collateral agreement, in which Greece agreed to give Finland €1bn (£875m) in cash in return for its support, was "our parliament's decision that we demand it as a condition for us joining in".
The Portuguese 2 year yield is up some to 13.3%, otherwise there is no panic in the European bond markets.  Right now this is just an issue for Greece.

Here is a graph of the 10 year spread (Italy to Germany) from Bloomberg. And for Spain to Germany. The Italian spread is at 282, down from 389 on Aug 4th, and the Spanish spread is at 279, down from 398 on Aug 4th.

Also the Irish 2 year yield is at 8.9%. And the French 10 year is at 2.87%.

Here are the links for bond yields for several countries (source: Bloomberg):

Greece2 Year5 Year10 Year
Portugal2 Year5 Year10 Year
Ireland2 Year5 Year10 Year
Spain2 Year5 Year10 Year
Italy2 Year5 Year10 Year
Belgium2 Year5 Year10 Year
France2 Year5 Year10 Year
Germany2 Year5 Year10 Year

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