by Bill McBride on 7/15/2011 09:55:00 AM
Friday, July 15, 2011
The preliminary July Reuters / University of Michigan consumer sentiment index declined sharply to 63.8 from 71.5 in June.
Click on graph for larger image in graphic gallery.
In general consumer sentiment is a coincident indicator and is usually impacted by employment (and the unemployment rate) and gasoline prices. However, even with lower gasoline prices, consumer sentiment declined sharply - possible because of the heavy coverage of the debt ceiling charade.
This was well below the consensus forecast of 71.0 and definitely in the recession range.