by Bill McBride on 7/16/2010 08:30:00 AM
Friday, July 16, 2010
From the BLS report on the Consumer Price Index this morning:
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.1 percent in June on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the index increased 1.1 percent before seasonal adjustment.Even with the slight monthly increase, Owners' equivalent rent (OER) is down year-over-year.
The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in June after increasing 0.1 percent in May. ... The 12-month change in the index for all items less food and energy remained at 0.9 percent for the third month in a row.
The index for owners' equivalent rent also rose 0.1 percent, its first increase since August 2009 ...
The general disinflationary trend continues - CPI is unchanged over the last 8 months - and with all the slack in the system (especially the 9.5% unemployment rate), CPI will probably stay low or even fall further.
Posted by Bill McBride on 7/16/2010 08:30:00 AM