by Bill McBride on 10/07/2009 01:11:00 AM
Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Click on graph for larger image in new window.
This graph shows the office vacancy rate starting 1991.
Reis is reporting the vacancy rate rose to 16.5% in Q3 from 15.9% in Q2. The peak following the previous recession was 17%.
From Bloomberg: U.S. Office Vacancies Reach Five-Year High of 16.5%, Reis Says
U.S. office vacancies ... climbed to 16.5 percent ... New York-based Reis said in a report. Effective rents ... fell 8.5 percent, the biggest year-over-year drop since 1995.Earlier this year Reis forecast that the U.S. office vacancy rate will top out at 18.2 percent in 2010, and that rents will continue to decline through 2011.
“The decline in effective rents really accelerated after the fall of Lehman Brothers,” Victor Calanog, director of research at Reis, said in a statement. “Tenants will continue shedding occupied space as jobs are lost.”
“Weakness in rents is not concentrated in just a few” cities, Calanog said.
No wonder the Fed is so worried (previous post).