Saturday, September 19, 2009

Report: Strategic Defaults a "Growing Problem"

by Bill McBride on 9/19/2009 11:55:00 AM

From Kenneth Harney at the LA Times: Homeowners who 'strategically default' on loans a growing problem

National credit bureau Experian teamed with consulting company Oliver Wyman to identify the characteristics and debt management behavior of the growing numbers of homeowners who bail out of their mortgages with none of the expected warning signs, such as nonpayments on other debts.
...
[Some results:]
...
  • The number of strategic defaults is far beyond most industry estimates -- 588,000 nationwide during 2008, more than double the total in 2007. ...

  • Strategic defaulters often go straight from perfect payment histories to no mortgage payments at all. ...

  • Strategic defaults are heavily concentrated in negative-equity markets ...
  • This fits with recent research from Guiso, Sapienza and Zingales: See New Research on Walking Away and here is their paper: Moral and Social Constraints to Strategic Default on Mortgages

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