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Monday, July 20, 2009

CRE Losses Piling Up

by Calculated Risk on 7/20/2009 08:13:00 AM

From Lingling Wei and Maurice Tamman at the WSJ: Commercial Loans Failing at Rapid Pace

U.S. banks have been charging off soured commercial mortgages at the fastest pace in nearly 20 years ... losses on loans used to finance offices, shopping malls, hotels, apartments and other commercial property could reach about $30 billion by the end of 2009.
...
Many of the most troubled [regional] banks have heavy exposure to commercial real estate. ...

In contrast to home loans, the majority of which were made by about 10 lenders, thousands of U.S. banks, especially regional and community banks, loaded up on commercial-property debt.
...
Some analysts, meanwhile, worry that banks aren't sufficiently recognizing losses on their commercial real-estate loans, thereby exposing themselves to bigger losses later. ..."Net charge-offs to date have been highly inadequate," said Richard Parkus, head of commercial mortgage-backed securities research at Deutsche Bank. "This is clearly a problem that is being pushed out into the future."
Many regional and community banks had excessive loan concentrations in Construction & Development (C&D) and CRE loans. The FDIC identified this as an emerging risk in 2006 - so it is no surprise. These smaller banks have been slow to recognize the related losses - possibly because many of the deals had interest reserves that mask the performance of the commercial building until the reserve runs dry. Then there is just more work for the FDIC ...