Tuesday, October 28, 2008

S&P Case-Shiller: Real Prices for Selected Cities

by Bill McBride on 10/28/2008 07:10:00 PM

Earlier today I posted the following graph showing the price declines from the peak for each city included in S&P/Case-Shiller indices.

Case-Shiller Price Declines Click on graph for larger image in new window.

In Phoenix and Las Vegas home prices have declined about 36% from the peak. At the other end of the spectrum, prices in Charlotte and Dallas are only off about 3% from the peak.

For the most part, the size in the percentage price decline is related to the size of the price bubble for each area. The second graph shows real prices for cities at the extremes - Las Vegas and Charlotte, and Chicago in the middle.

Case-Shiller Price Declines This shows real prices (adjusted with CPI less Shelter) for three cities. Las Vegas had a huge price increase in the early '00s, and now prices are falling rapidly.

Charlotte had a small price bubble, and prices have only declined a few percent. It appears prices in the bubbly areas (like Las Vegas) are still too high, but prices are already close to normal for Charlotte.