by Bill McBride on 10/24/2008 11:54:00 AM
Friday, October 24, 2008
The Dept of Transportation reports on U.S. Traffic Volume Trends:
Travel on all roads and streets changed by -5.6% (-15.0 billion vehicle miles) for August 2008 as compared with August 2007. Travel for the month is estimated to be 253.7 billion vehicle miles.Click on graph for larger image in new window.
This graph shows the annual change in the rolling 12 month average of U.S. vehicles miles driven. Note: the rolling 12 month average is used to remove seasonality.
By this measure, vehicle miles driven are off 2.6% YoY, and the decline in miles driven is worse than during the early '70s oil crisis - and almost as bad as the 1979-1980 decline.
From the WSJ: Oil Prices Drop, Despite OPEC Cut
Crude-oil futures Friday fell to their lowest point since May 2007, with concerns of a global recession overwhelming an Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries decision to trim output.This is clear demand destruction.
Light, sweet crude for December delivery was recently down $4.38, or 6.5%, at $63.46 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude on the ICE Futures exchange fell $4.19 to $61.73 a barrel.
Nymex crude is off more than $80 from July's record highs. Oil's speedy reversal pushed OPEC to convene an emergency meeting in Vienna early Friday, where the cartel pledged to cut 1.5 million barrels a day from its production quota of 28.8 million barrels a day, effective Nov. 1.
Posted by Bill McBride on 10/24/2008 11:54:00 AM