Thursday, August 09, 2007

"Soft Landing" Is Still Operative

by Tanta on 8/09/2007 08:47:00 AM

Says the MBA-in-Chief:

For his part, Mr. Bush, in a verbal tour of the current economic scene, was eager both to calm the markets and knock down the Democratic calls for the administration to intervene, predicting that the turmoil in the housing sector would end with a “soft landing” and would not damage the larger economy.

“I believe that markets ultimately look at the fundamentals of any economy,” Mr. Bush said. “And the fundamentals of our economy are strong. Inflation is down. Real wages are increasing. The job market is a strong job market. People are working. Small businesses are flourishing.”

Mr. Bush, who has a master’s degree in business administration from Harvard, confidently used phrases like liquidity, risk assessment and market adjustment to describe complex economic conditions.

Asked about collapsing housing markets, and the risk of them declining further, Mr. Bush said: “In a way it’s a necessary reaction to a flood of liquidity that came into the market in the past couple years.” That was financial jargon referring to the past several years of easy money, some of it from overseas, at low interest rates.

Mr. Bush said that as a result of the deep pools of money available, “housing got really hot” and that a decline was inevitable. He added that “if the market functions normally” it will lead to a soft landing. “That’s kind of what it looks like so far,” he contended.