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Tuesday, June 28, 2005

Sec. Snow and FDIC: No Housing Bubble

by Calculated Risk on 6/28/2005 07:04:00 PM

Treasury Secretary Snow appeared on CNBC today. According to FOX:

"I think in some markets housing prices have risen out of alignment with underlying earnings," Snow said. But also answering the question whether there was a housing bubble in the United States his answer was a flat-out "no."
And officials at the FDIC apparently believe that housing prices are the result of strong job growth. From this article:
Top officials at the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC), which regulates national banks, yesterday dismissed fears that rising home prices nationwide reflect a speculative bubble ready to burst.
...
Today, the agency will release new state-by-state economic profiles. Taken together, the profiles conclude that most booming U.S. housing markets are sustained by strong growth in new jobs.

"In general, that is where home prices are rising most rapidly," said Barbara Ryan, associate director of the FDIC's research division.
Here are the FDIC State Profiles.

Snow also commented on Oil prices:
"Energy prices are way too high," Snow said on CNBC television. "Clearly, it's hurting."

"Clearly, energy prices serve as a tax, they reduce the disposable income available to do other things and they take some oxygen out of the economy," Snow said. "Energy is my concern. I think energy is the biggest concern," he added.

But Snow said the U.S. economy is currently managing to withstand the "headwinds" of oil at $60 a barrel. When asked if these energy prices portend a recession, Snow said: "No. I don't see it derailing the strong recovery we're in ... but it does take a few tenths of a (percentage) point off GDP growth, that's for sure."
Don't worry, be happy!