Calculated Risk
Finance and Economics
Saturday, December 09, 2017
Schedule for Week of Dec 10, 2017
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The key economic reports this week are November retail sales and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). For manufacturing, November industrial pr...
Friday, December 08, 2017
AAR: Rail Carloads decreased, Intermodal Solid in November
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From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) Rail Time Indicators . Graphs and excerpts reprinted with permission . In November 2017,...
Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama, Trump
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Here is another update of tracking employment during Presidential terms. We frequently use Presidential terms as time markers - we could us...
Solid Seasonal Retail Hiring in November
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According to the BLS employment report, retailers hired seasonal workers in October and November at a higher pace than last year. Typicall...
Comment on Employment Report: Some Additional Hurricane Bounce Back
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The headline jobs number was strong at 228 thousand, probably somewhat due to an additional bounce back from the hurricanes, and above expe...
November Employment Report: 228,000 Jobs Added, 4.1% Unemployment Rate
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From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 228,000 in November , and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent ...
Thursday, December 07, 2017
Friday: Employment Report
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My November Employment Preview and Goldman: November Payrolls Preview Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for November. The c...
Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Remains Strong" in November
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Note: This index is possibly a leading indicator for new non-residential Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment, except manufacturing. Fr...
Goldman: November Payrolls Preview
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A few brief excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill: We estimate that nonfarm payrolls increased 225k in Novembe r, a...
November Employment Preview
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On Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for November. Merrill Lynch economists expect the following: We forec...
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