Calculated Risk
Finance and Economics
Thursday, July 30, 2015
Q2 GDP: Investment
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The graph below shows the contribution to GDP from residential investment, equipment and software, and nonresidential structures (3 quarter ...
Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 267,000
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The DOL reported : In the week ending July 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 267,000, an increase of 12,00...
BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.3% Annualized Rate in Q2
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From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product: Second Quarter 2015 (Advance Estimate); Includes Historical Revisions Real gross domestic product -...
Wednesday, July 29, 2015
Thursday: Q2 GDP and Revisions, Unemployment Claims
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The GDP revisions will be especially important this year. Excerpts from a research piece by Michelle Meyer at Merrill Lynch: The moment ...
Duy on FOMC: "Somewhat more hawkish as the Fed gears up to hike rates later this year"
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From Tim Duy: FOMC Recap The July FOMC meeting yielded the widely expected outcome of no policy change. Very little change in the statemen...
FOMC Statement: No Change in Policy, No Clues for September
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FOMC Statement: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June indicates that economic activity has been expand...
How large will the first Fed Funds Rate increase be?
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Just wondering ... No one expects a rate hike from the FOMC today. And most of the focus has been on WHEN the first rate hike will happe...
NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 1.8% in June, up 8% year-over-year
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From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Dip in June After five consecutive months of increases, pending home sales slipped in June but remained n...
MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 18% YoY
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From the MBA: Refinance Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 0.8 percent from one week earlie...
Tuesday, July 28, 2015
Wednesday: FOMC, Pending Home Sales
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A few excerpts from an FOMC preview by Goldman Sachs economist Zach Pandl: The July 28-29 FOMC meeting is shaping up to be the calm before...
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