Calculated Risk

Finance and Economics

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Will 4% Mortgage Rates "Halt the Housing Market"? Some comments on an interview with Ivy Zelman

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Today, in the Newsletter: Will 4% Mortgage Rates "Halt the Housing Market"? Excerpt: On Friday, Sara Eisen asked: “Do you think ...
Saturday, October 16, 2021

Newsletter Articles this Week

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At the Calculated Risk Newsletter this week: • House Prices to National Average Wage Index • 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in Septem...

Schedule for Week of October 17, 2021

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The key economic reports this week are September Housing Starts and Existing Home sales. For manufacturing, September Industrial Productio...
Friday, October 15, 2021

October 15th COVID-19: Slow Progress

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The CDC is the source for all data. According to the CDC, on Vaccinations .  Total doses administered: 406,570,875, as of a week ago 400,66...

Q3 GDP Forecasts: Around 2%

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These are forecasts of the advance estimate of GDP to be released on Oct 28th. Here is a table of some of the forecasts over the last 2+ m...

Black Knight: "Significant" Decline in Number of Homeowners in COVID-19-Related Forbearance Plans

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Note: Both Black Knight and the MBA (Mortgage Bankers Association) are putting out weekly estimates of mortgages in forbearance. This data...

Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in September

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On a monthly basis, retail sales were increased 0.7% from August to September (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 13.9 percent from Sep...
Thursday, October 14, 2021

Friday: Retail Sales, NY Fed Mfg

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Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Retail sales for September will be released.  The consensus is for a 0.2% decrease in retail sales. • Also at 8...

October 14th COVID-19: 42 Days till Thanksgiving; Need to Get Daily Cases Down Before Holidays

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The CDC is the source for all data. According to the CDC, on Vaccinations .  Total doses administered: 405,444,558, as of a week ago 398,67...

House Prices to National Average Wage Index

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Today, in the Newsletter: House Prices to National Average Wage Index Excerpt: This graph shows the ratio of house price indexes divided b...
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