Calculated Risk

Finance and Economics

Tuesday, July 23, 2019

"Chemical Activity Barometer Fell in July"

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Note: This appears to be a leading indicator for industrial production. From the American Chemistry Council: Chemical Activity Barometer F...

Richmond Fed: "Fifth District Manufacturing Activity Weakened in July"

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Earlier from the Richmond Fed: Fifth District Manufacturing Activity Weakened in July Fifth District manufacturing activity weakened in Ju...

Comments on June Existing Home Sales

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Earlier: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.27 million in June A few key points: 1) The key for housing - and the overall economy -...

NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.27 million in June

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From the NAR: Existing-Home Sales Falter 1.7% in June Existing-home sales weakened in June, as total sales saw a small decline after a pre...
Monday, July 22, 2019

Tuesday: Existing Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey

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From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Fall Again as Lenders Play Catch Up Mortgage rates lower again today. The impr...

Top Twenty Five GDP Quarters since 2000

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A year ago I posted a list of the top twenty five GDP quarters since 2000.   Here is an update. The advance estimate of Q2 GDP data will ...

Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased Year-over-year

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From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 13 July The U.S. hotel industry reported negative year-over-year results in t...

Chicago Fed "Index Points to Economic Growth near Historical Trend in June"

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From the Chicago Fed: Index Points to Economic Growth near Historical Trend in June The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) ticked...
Sunday, July 21, 2019

Sunday Night Futures

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Weekend: • Schedule for Week of July 21, 2019 Monday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for June. This is a composi...

By Request, and Just For Fun: Stock Market as Barometer of Policy Success

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By request, here is an update to the chart showing market performance under Presidents Trump and Obama. Note: I don't think the stock ...
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