Calculated Risk

Finance and Economics

Friday, November 01, 2019

ISM Manufacturing index at 48.3 in October

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The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction in October. The PMI was at 48.3% in October, up from 47.8% in September. The employment i...

October Employment Report: 148,000 Jobs Added ex-Census, 3.6% Unemployment Rate

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From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 128,000 in October, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 3.6 percent , ...
Thursday, October 31, 2019

Friday: Employment Report, ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending

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Note: It appears temporary Census hiring will have little impact on the October employment report. My October Employment Preview: Take th...

Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate increased slightly in September

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Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency increased slightly to 0.68% in September, from 0.68% in August. The serious ...

October Employment Preview: Take the Under

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Special Notes on GM Strike and Decennial Census : The GM strike has ended, but 48,000 workers were on strike during the BLS reference week. ...

Q3 2019 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate

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The BEA has released the underlying details for the Q3 initial GDP report. The BEA reported that investment in non-residential structures ...

Personal Income increased 0.3% in September, Spending increased 0.2%

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The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for September: Personal income increased $50.2 billion (0.3 percent) in September...

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 218,000

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The DOL reported : In the week ending October 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000 , an increase of 5...
Wednesday, October 30, 2019

Thursday: Personal Income & Outlays, Unemployment Claims

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Thursday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 215,000 initial claims, u...

FOMC Statement: 25bp Decrease

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FOMC Statement: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September indicates that the labor market remains str...
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