Calculated Risk

Finance and Economics

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

NAHB: Builder Confidence Increases to 70 in May

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The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 70 in May, up from 68 in April. Any number ...

Retail Sales increased 0.3% in April

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On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.3 percent from March to April (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 4.7 percent from March 2...
Monday, May 14, 2018

Tuesday: Retail Sales, NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey

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From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Sideways But Market Says They Shouldn't Be Mortgage rates were sideways to ...

LA area Port Traffic Increases YoY in April

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Container traffic gives us an idea about the volume of goods being exported and imported - and usually some hints about the trade report sin...

Payroll Employment and Seasonal Factors

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This might be a good time to review the seasonal pattern for employment. Even in the best of years there are a significant number of jobs ...

Employment: April Diffusion Indexes

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I haven't posted this in a few months. The BLS diffusion index for total private employment was at 57.6 in April, down from 64.1 in Ma...
Sunday, May 13, 2018

Sunday Night Futures

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Weekend: • Schedule for Week of May 13, 2018 Monday: • No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg...

Goldman: "Environment for investors is less pleasant than last year"

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A brief excerpts from a research note by Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius: " The environment for investors is less pleasant ...
Saturday, May 12, 2018

Schedule for Week of May 13, 2018

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The key economic reports this week are April Housing Starts and Retail Sales. For manufacturing, April industrial production, and the May ...
Friday, May 11, 2018

Oil Rigs: "Rig additions keep rolling along"

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A few comments from Steven Kopits of Princeton Energy Advisors LLC on May 11, 2018: • Total US oil rigs were up, +10 to 844 • Horizontal...
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