Calculated Risk

Finance and Economics

Friday, March 09, 2018

AAR: Rail Carloads Declined YoY, Best February Ever for Intermodal

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From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) Rail Time Indicators . Graphs and excerpts reprinted with permission . Total U.S. rail c...

Lawler: February Decline in Average Hourly Earnings Growth No Surprise

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From housing economist Tom Lawler: February Decline in Average Hourly Earnings Growth No Surprise To the surprise of no one who read eithe...

Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms

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Here is another update of tracking employment during Presidential terms.  We frequently use Presidential terms as time markers - we could us...

Comments on February Employment Report

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The headline jobs number at 313,000 for February was well above consensus expectations of 205 thousand, and the previously two months were r...

February Employment Report: 313,000 Jobs Added, 4.1% Unemployment Rate

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From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 313,000 in February , and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent ...
Thursday, March 08, 2018

Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs and Wages

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My February Employment Preview Goldman: February Payrolls Preview Friday: • At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for February. The consensus...

Lawler: More on Deaths ... And Some Thoughts About Next Week’s Release of Census Long-Term Population Projections

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From housing economist Tom Lawler: More on Deaths ... In discussing available data on deaths earlier this week , I noted that data are dea...

Goldman: February Payrolls Preview

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A few brief excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill: We estimate that nonfarm payrolls increased 210k in February, 5k...

February Employment Preview

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On Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for February. The consensus, according to Bloomberg , is for an increas...

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 231,000

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The DOL reported : In the week ending March 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 231,000 , an increase of 21,0...
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