Calculated Risk

Finance and Economics

Saturday, October 15, 2016

Schedule for Week of Oct 16, 2016

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The key economic reports this week are September housing starts, Existing Home Sales and Consumer Price Index (CPI). For manufacturing, Se...
Friday, October 14, 2016

Q3 GDP Forecasts

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From the Altanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2016 ...

Sacramento Housing in September: Sales up 3%, Active Inventory down 3.5% YoY

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During the recession, I started following the Sacramento market to look for changes in the mix of houses sold (equity, REOs, and short sales...

Preliminary October Consumer Sentiment declines to 87.9

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The preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for October was at 87.9, down from 91.2 in September. he Sentiment Index ...

Retail Sales increased 0.6% in September

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On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.6 percent from August to September (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 2.7% from September...
Thursday, October 13, 2016

Friday: Retail Sales, PPI, Yellen

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Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The Producer Price Index for September from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in prices, and a 0.1% i...

Merrill on September CPI

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Here is an excerpt from Merrill Lynch research piece today on September CPI to be released next week: Consumer prices likely rose by 0.3% ...

A Recession in the Next Four Years?

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The WSJ surveyed 59 "academic, business and financial economists" about the possibility of a recession in the next four years: Eco...

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 246,000, 4-Week Average Lowest Since 1973

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The DOL reported : In the week ending October 8, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 246,000, unchanged from the...
Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Mortgage Rates at 4-Month Highs

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From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates at 4-Month Highs In and of itself, today wasn't too bad of a day. Mortgage ...
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