Calculated Risk

Finance and Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

FOMC Projections and Press Conference Link

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Statement here . No change to policy. As far as the "Appropriate timing of policy firming",  participants generally think that ...

FOMC Statement: No Change to Policy, "The case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened"

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Preparing for a rate hike soon ... FOMC Statement: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July indicates t...

AIA: Architecture Billings Index declines in August

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Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: Architecture Billings Ind...

MBA: "Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey"

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From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 7.3 percent from one week earlier...
Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Wednesday: FOMC Announcement

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Here is a Review of FOMC Projections And a few excerpts from a piece by Goldman Sachs economists Zach Pandl and Jan Hatzius: FOMC Preview:...

Look Back: In 2006 I predicted House Prices would fall 40%+ in the Bay Area

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A reader asked about an old (and I suppose bold at the time) prediction ... In 2006 I wrote Bay Area: How far will prices fall? In the c...

Comments on August Housing Starts

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Earlier: Housing Starts increased to 1.142 Million Annual Rate in August The housing starts report this morning was below consensus, howev...

BLS: Unemployment Rates stable in 41 states in August

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From the BLS: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary Unemployment rates were significantly higher in August in 6 states, l...

Housing Starts decreased to 1.142 Million Annual Rate in August

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From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and Completions Housing Starts: Privately-owned housing starts in August were at a seasonally adj...
Monday, September 19, 2016

Tuesday: Housing Starts

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From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Steady to Slightly Higher Mortgage Rates were unchanged for a third straight da...
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