Calculated Risk

Finance and Economics

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

Goldman expects "Tax Reform" to be Enacted in the "Next Two Weeks"

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A few excerpts from an article by Goldman Sachs economist Alec Phillips: We continue to expect tax reform to be enacted in the next two we...

NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index "Near All-Time High" in November

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From the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB): Small Business Optimism Hits Near All-Time High The Index of Small Business O...
Monday, December 11, 2017

Tuesday: Small Business Index, PPI

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From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Slightly Higher Mortgage rates moved modestly higher for the 3rd s...

Prime Working-Age Population nears 2007 Peak

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Update through November: The prime working age population peaked in 2007, and bottomed at the end of 2012. As of November 2017, according t...

Duy: "Expect the Fed to Stand By Its 2018 Outlook"

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From Tim Duy at Bloomberg: Expect the Fed to Stand By Its 2018 Outlook . A few excerpts: The Fed is likely to continue to point toward an...

FOMC Preview

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The consensus is that the Fed will increase the Fed Funds Rate 25bps at the meeting this week. Assuming the expected happens, the focus wi...

BLS: Job Openings "Little changed" in October

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From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings was little changed at 6.0 million on the last business d...
Sunday, December 10, 2017

Sunday Night Futures

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Weekend: • Schedule for Week of Dec 10, 2017 Monday: • 10:00 AM ET: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for October from the BLS. ...

Hotel Occupancy Rate Increased Year-over-Year, On Pace for Record Year

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From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 2 December The U.S. hotel industry reported positive year-over-year results i...
Saturday, December 09, 2017

Goldman: FOMC Preview

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The FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and almost all analysts expect a rate hike this week. Here are a few brief excerpts from a Goldma...
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