Friday, June 21, 2019

Q2 GDP Forecasts: Around 2%

by Calculated Risk on 6/21/2019 12:26:00 PM

From Merrill Lynch:

1Q GDP is likely to be revised slightly higher to 3.2% in the final release next week, up from the second estimate of 3.1%. We continue to track 2.5% for 2Q GDP. [June 21 estimate]
emphasis added
From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report
The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 1.4% for 2019:Q2 and 1.3% for 2019:Q3. [June 21 estimate].
And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2019 is 2.0 percent on June 18, down from 2.1 percent on June 14. [June 18 estimate]
CR Note: These estimates suggest real GDP growth will be around 2% annualized in Q2.