by Calculated Risk on 12/27/2013 11:23:00 AM

Towards the end of each year I collect some housing forecasts for the following year.

Here was a summary of forecasts for 2013. Right now it looks like new home sales will be around 433 thousand this year, and total starts around 935 thousand or so.  David Crowe (NAHB) was very close on New Home sales for 2013.  Fannie Mae was the closest on housing starts.

The table below shows a few forecasts for 2014.

From Fannie Mae: Housing Forecast: December 2013

From NAHB: Housing and Interest Rate Forecast, 12/7/2013 (excel)

I haven't worked up a forecast yet for 2014.

Housing Forecasts for 2014
	New Home Sales (000s)	Single Family Starts (000s)	Total Starts (000s)	House Prices1
NAHB	607	825	1,147
Fannie Mae	518	768	1,106	5.9%2
Merrill Lynch	517		1,100	6.3%
Wells Fargo	535	800	1,140	2.7%
Zillow				4.6%3
1Case-Shiller unless indicated otherwise 2FHFA Purchase-Only Index 3Zillow Home Value Index