by Bill McBride on 9/08/2015 01:57:00 PM
Tuesday, September 08, 2015
This is a key distressed market to follow since Phoenix saw a large bubble / bust followed by strong investor buying. These key markets hopefully show us changes in trends for sales and inventory.
For the ninth consecutive month, inventory was down year-over-year in Phoenix. This is a significant change from last year.
The Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service (ARMLS) reports (table below):
1) Overall sales in August were up 9.2% year-over-year.
2) Cash Sales (frequently investors) were down to 22.6% of total sales.
3) Active inventory is now down 13.7% year-over-year.
More inventory (a theme in 2014) - and less investor buying - suggested price increases would slow sharply in 2014. And prices increases did slow in 2014, only increasing 2.4% according to Case-Shiller.
Now, with falling inventory, prices are increasing a little faster in 2015 (something to watch if inventory continues to decline). Prices are already up 2.5% through June (prices increased more in 6 months in 2015, than all of 2014).
|August Residential Sales and Inventory, Greater Phoenix Area, ARMLS|
|1 August 2008 probably includes pending listings|