Saturday, August 24, 2013

Schedule for Week of August 25th

by Bill McBride on 8/24/2013 01:11:00 PM

The key reports this week are Case-Shiller house prices for June on Tuesday, the second estimate of Q2 GDP on Thursday, and the July Personal Income and Outlays report on Friday.

For manufacturing, the Dallas and Richmond regional manufacturing surveys for August will be released this week.


----- Monday, August 26th -----

8:30 AM: Durable Goods Orders for July from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for a 4.0% declined in durable goods orders.

10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus is a reading of 4.5, up from 4.4 in July (above zero is expansion).

----- Tuesday, August 27th -----

Case-Shiller House Prices Indices 9:00 AM: S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Index for June. Although this is the June report, it is really a 3 month average of April, May, and June.

This graph shows the nominal seasonally adjusted Composite 10 and Composite 20 indexes through May 2012 (the Composite 20 was started in January 2000).

The consensus is for a 12.2% year-over-year increase in the Composite 20 index (NSA) for June. The Zillow forecast is for the Composite 20 to increase 12.1% year-over-year, and for prices to increase 1.1% month-to-month seasonally adjusted.

10:00 AM: Conference Board's consumer confidence index for August. The consensus is for the index to decrease to 78.0 from 80.3.

10:00 AM: Richmond Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for August. The consensus is for a reading of 0 for this survey, up from minus 11 in July (Above zero is expansion).

----- Wednesday, August 28th -----

7:00 AM: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

10:00 AM ET: Pending Home Sales Index for July. The consensus is for a 1.0% decrease in the index.

----- Thursday, August 29th -----

8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for claims to decrease to 330 thousand from 336 thousand last week.

8:30 AM: Q2 GDP (second estimate). This is the second estimate of Q2 GDP from the BEA. The consensus is that real GDP increased 2.2% annualized in Q2, revised up from the advance estimate of 1.7% in Q2.

----- Friday, August 30th -----

8:30 AM ET: Personal Income and Outlays for July. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in personal income in June, and for a 0.3% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.2%.

9:45 AM: Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for August. The consensus is for an increase to 53.0, up from 52.3 in July.

9:55 AM: Reuter's/University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (final for July). The consensus is for a reading of 80.0.

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