by Bill McBride on 7/19/2012 04:04:00 PM
Thursday, July 19, 2012
In addition to Case-Shiller, CoreLogic, and LPS, I'm also watching the FNC, Zillow and other house price indexes.
FNC released their May index data today. FNC reported that their Residential Price Index™ (RPI) indicates that U.S. residential property values increased 0.6% in May (Composite 100 index). The other RPIs (10-MSA, 20-MSA, 30-MSA) increased between 0.5% and 0.8% in May. These indexes are not seasonally adjusted (NSA), and are for non-distressed home sales (excluding foreclosure auction sales, REO sales, and short sales).
The year-over-year trends continued to show improvement in May, with all four composite indexes down 1.8% to 2.1% compared to May 2011. For all the indexes, this is the smallest year-over-year decline in the FNC index since year-over-year prices started falling in 2007 (five years ago).
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph is based on the FNC index (four composites) through May 2012. The FNC indexes are hedonic price indexes using a blend of sold homes and real-time appraisals.
Some of the month-to-month gain is seasonal since this index is NSA. The key is the indexes are showing less of a year-over-year decline in May. If house prices have bottomed, the year-over-year decline should turn positive later this year or early in 2013.
The May Case-Shiller index will be released Tuesday, July 31st.
Earlier on Existing Home Sales:
• Existing Home Sales in June: 4.37 million SAAR, 6.6 months of supply
• Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
• Existing Home Sales graphs