Thursday, March 29, 2012

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 359,000

by Bill McBride on 3/29/2012 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports:

In the week ending March 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 359,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 364,000. The 4-week moving average was 365,000, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average of 368,500.
Note: "This week's release reflects the annual revision to the weekly unemployment claims seasonal adjustment factors. The seasonal adjustment factors used for the UI Weekly Claims data from 2007 forward, along with the resulting seasonally adjusted values for initial claims and continuing claims, have been revised."

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000.

Click on graph for larger image.

The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims declined to 365,000 (after annual revisions).

The 4-week moving average is at the lowest level since early 2008 (including revisions).

And here is a long term graph of weekly claims:



The ongoing decline in initial weekly claims is good news. After the revisions, this is the lowest level for claims since early 2008 and the trend is down.

All current Employment Graphs

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