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Thursday, October 13, 2011

Trade Deficit unchanged at $45.6 billion in August

by Calculated Risk on 10/13/2011 09:15:00 AM

The Department of Commerce reports:

[T]otal August exports of $177.6 billion and imports of $223.2 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $45.6 billion, virtually unchanged from July, revised. August exports were $0.1 billion less than July exports of $177.7 billion. August imports were $0.1 billion less than
July imports of $223.3 billion.
The trade deficit was slightly below the consensus forecast of $46 billion.

The first graph shows the monthly U.S. exports and imports in dollars through August 2011.

U.S. Trade Exports Imports Click on graph for larger image.

Exports and imports were mostly unchanged in August (seasonally adjusted). Exports are well above the pre-recession peak and up 15% compared to August 2010; imports have stalled recently and are up about 11% compared to August 2010.

The second graph shows the U.S. trade deficit, with and without petroleum, through August.

U.S. Trade Deficit The blue line is the total deficit, and the black line is the petroleum deficit, and the red line is the trade deficit ex-petroleum products.

Oil averaged $102.62 per barrel in August, down slightly from $104.27 per barrel in July. The trade deficit with China increased to a record $29 billion; trade with China remains a significant issue.

Imports have been moving sideways for the last several months - partially due to slightly lower oil prices. However the trade deficit with China continues to increase. Exports are still generally trending up.