Thursday, December 03, 2009

ISM Non-Manufacturing Shows Contraction in November

by Bill McBride on 12/03/2009 10:04:00 AM

From the Institute for Supply Management: November 2009 Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector contracted in November after two consecutive months of expansion, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, C.P.M., CFPM, chair of the Institute for Supply Management™ Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee; and senior vice president — supply management for Hilton Worldwide. "The NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index) registered 48.7 percent in November, 1.9 percentage points lower than the 50.6 percent registered in October, indicating contraction in the non-manufacturing sector after two consecutive months of expansion. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased 5.6 percentage points to 49.6 percent, reflecting contraction after three consecutive months of growth. The New Orders Index decreased 0.5 percentage point to 55.1 percent, and the Employment Index increased 0.5 percentage point to 41.6 percent. The Prices Index increased 4.8 percentage points to 57.8 percent in November, indicating an increase in prices paid from October. According to the NMI, six non-manufacturing industries reported growth in November. Respondents' comments remain cautious about business conditions and reflect concern over the length of time for economic recovery."
...
Employment activity in the non-manufacturing sector contracted in November for the 22nd time in the last 23 months. ... Three industries reported increased employment, 11 industries reported decreased employment, and four industries reported unchanged employment compared to October. Comments from respondents include: "Permanent and seasonal layoffs" and "Some reduction in workforce due to slow second- and third-quarter sales."
emphasis added
This is a grim report. According to this survey, the service sector contracted in November, and employment also contracted at about the same rate as in October.

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